Great Power Competition
GPC7 Agenda
7th Great Power Competition Conference
University of South Florida
Marshall Student Center
March 8-9, 2023
Tampa, Florida
DAY 1 |
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8:00am - 8:55am | Check-in and Registration |
8:55am - 9:00am | Conference and Day 1 Overview Lieutenant Colonel Javier Torres, Branch Chief, J25 Partner Engagements, USCENTCOM |
9:00am - 9:10am | Welcome Remarks Rear Admiral Nicholas Homan, Director of Intelligence, USCENTCOM |
9:10am - 9:20am | Keynote Introduction General (Ret) Frank McKenzie, Executive Director, Global and National Security Institute and former commander, USCENTCOM |
9:20am - 10:20am |
Keynote Address and Q&A Brigadier General (Ret) Peter Zwack, Global Fellow at The Kennan Institute and former Senior Defense Official/Attaché Moscow |
10:20am - 10:40am | Plenary Speaker Gregory Ryckman, Deputy Director for Global Integration, Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) |
10:40am - 11:00am | Break |
11:00am - 12:30pm |
Panel 1: War in Ukraine - Russian Hybrid Warfare, Lessons Learned and Future of Russian
Way of War Panelists: MODERATOR: Jeff Aiton, J2 Strategic Competition Director, CENTCOM • Dr. Nathan Barrick, Deputy Chief of Strategy and Analysis, SOCOM • Colonel (Ret) Tom Wilhelm, Director U.S. Army Foreign Military Studies Officer • Brigadier General (Ret) Peter Zwack, Global Fellow at The Kennan Institute and former Senior Defense Official/Attaché Moscow • Dr. Maria Snegovaya, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) |
12:30pm - 2:00pm | BREAK FOR LUNCH (on your own) |
2:00pm - 3:30pm |
Panel 2: Strategic Competition – Russia's Future Strategy and Friction Points Panelists: • Moderator: Mike Cleary, Strategic Competition Director, Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) • Dr. Maria Snegovaya, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) • Michael DeMattia, Lead Analyst, Office of Strategic Competition, CENTCOM • Dr. Nathan Barrick, Deputy Chief of Strategy and Analysis, USSOCOM • Brigadier General (Ret) Peter Zwack, Global Fellow at The Kennan Institute and former Senior Defense Official/Attaché Moscow • Dr. Yoshiko Herrera, Professor of Political Science, University of Wisconsin-Madison |
3:30pm - 3:45pm | BREAK |
3:45pm - 4:35pm | Closing Remarks from Directors of Military Intelligence: - Kazakhstan - Kyrgyz Republic - Pakistan - Tajikistan - Uzbekistan |
4:35pm - 4:50pm | Conference Closing Remarks, Rear Admiral Nicholas Homan, Director of Intelligence, USCENTCOM |
DAY 2 |
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8:00am - 9:00am | Check In and Registration |
9:00am - 9:05am | Conference Introduction and Day 1 Preview Dr. Adib Farhadi, Conference Emcee |
9:05am - 9:07am | Welcome Video Remarks Florida Senator, Rick Scott |
9:07am - 9:12am | Opening Remarks Rhea Law, President, University of South Florida |
9:12am -9:30am | Welcome Remarks David Lamm, Acting Director, Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies (NESA) |
9:30am - 10:00am | Keynote Remarks & Q&A General (Ret) Frank McKenzie, Executive Director, GNSI and former commander, U.S. Central Command |
10:00am - 10:30am | Morning Break |
10:30am - 12:30pm |
Panel #1: Understanding China's Grand Strategy • What are China's long-term objectives as a global power? • How do the Middle East, Central Asia, and South Asia fit into Chinese strategic goals? • How does China view its competition with the United States and Russia for influence? How is the war in Ukraine affecting China's relationship with Russia and calculations for the region? • Does China want to play the role of regional security guarantor? To what extent are Middle East countries increasing reliance on China's Foreign Military Sales (FMS)? • How does China balance its relations with regional states, especially on both sides of the Arabian Gulf?
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12:30pm - 2:00pm | LUNCH |
2:00pm - 2:30pm |
Plenary Speaker Lieutenant General Dimitri Henry, Director for Intelligence, Joint Staff (J2) |
2:30pm - 4:30pm |
Panel #2: Implications of China's Belt and Road Geoeconomics for U.S. National Security China's Belt and Road Initiative has been Beijing's most powerful tool of influence in recent history. This panel will examine how China employs its economic investment leverage to cultivate influence and potentially coerce and control other states. This session will explore the trajectory of the BRI and the potential for China to use these infrastructure projects to support future military aims. The panel will also examine the implications of China's dependence on and increased access to petroleum and critical minerals in the region. Panel Discussion Questions: • Assessing the geoeconomic and geopolitical implications of the BRI. • What should the U.S. do to counter the influence that China has developed in the Central Region through its BRI? • How does China's preferential access to critical minerals in the region, primarily through its BRI, threaten U.S. interests? Panelists: |
4:30pm | End of Day Two |
DAY 3 |
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8:00am - 9:00am | Check-In and Registration |
9:00am -9:05am | Conference Day 1 Recap and Day 2 Preview Dr. Adib Farhadi, Conference Emcee |
9:05am - 9:10am | Welcome Video Remarks Congresswoman Kathy Castor, FL #14 Congresswoman Laurel Lee, FL #15 |
9:10am - 9:30am | Opening Remarks Dr. Eric Eisenberg, Senior Vice President University - Community Partnerships, USF |
9:30am - 10:00am | Plenary Remarks Major General David Doyle, Chief of Staff, U.S. Central Command |
10:00am - 10:30am |
Break |
10:30am - 12:30pm |
Panel #3: China's Shaping of International Norms and Regional Security Environment
• How could Chinese military modernization change the character of future competition of conflict in Asia? • How can states in the Central Region recognize and counter Chinese disinformation and political influence campaigns? • What are the key opportunities and challenges to establish more cooperation among partners in the Central Region to maintain international norms? • How can the United States work with its partners in the Central Region to ensure freedom of navigation in the Indian Ocean Basin, establish rules of engagement with growing PLA forces in the region and counter Chinese disinformation and political influence campaigns? Panelists: |
12:30pm - 12:35pm |
Featured Speaker, Dr. Randy Larsen, Associate Dean, Office of Research and Scholarship, University of South Florida |
12:35pm - 2:00pm | LUNCH |
2:00pm - 4:00pm | Breakout Sessions |
Breakout Session #1 (INVITATION ONLY / not live streamed) China's Belt and Road Initiative Projects in Central Asia and Pakistand (Room 4200) |
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Breakout Session #2 (INVITATION ONLY / not live streamed) Future Scenarios for Strategic Competition with China (Room 3707) |
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Breakout Session #3 Session Lead: Tom Waters, Assistant Director of Startups for the University of South Florida. He was previously an undercover officer on the CIA’s Economic and Trade Security team; his memoir is #2 on the Agency’s list of recommended reading for new employees. |
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4:00pm | End of Day Three and Conference |